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Nicole Rae Baerg

Political Economy, Political Institutions, Central Banking, Political Text Analysis, Computational Social Science

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RESEARCH

  • The Hydropower Promise? Local Governance and Rural Redistribution

    How do redistributive institutions transform the relationship between resource extraction and regional development in high-income democracies? Large energy projects are now widely expected to deliver tangible benefits to affected communities, and benefit-sharing institutions have emerged as a preferred mechanism to channel these gains. Yet because these benefits are funded through non-tax, windfall revenues that political

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  • Automated Detection of Emotion in Central Bank Communication: A Warning

    (with Carola Binder)

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  • Council Checks of the Commission under the European Semester

    (with Mark Hallerberg)

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NEWS

  • Publication Alert

    21 March 2025

    My recent research note with Carola Binder on the difficulties of using standard, off the shelf Large Language Models (LLM) and labeled data to study emotion in central bank communications is now out at the National Institute Economic Review. Our key insight is that central bank communication is both lexically and subjectively difficult for people

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  • Publication Alert

    21 March 2025

    My paper with Dominik Duell and Will Lowe on ECB communication and support for the EU is forthcoming at the Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy. This journal is becoming one of my favourite journals to read so I am so excited that this paper finally landed here. We show that while people are persuaded

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  • Senior Visiting Fellow: LSE Data Science Institute

    7 December 2023

    Happy to announce that I am now a senior visiting fellow at the LSE’s Data Science Institute. Whilst here, I will be working on a project related to bank branch closures in the UK and their effects on Political and Economic perceptions and behaviours.

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